Mortgage Commentary for Current Connecticut Mortgage Rates
Monday’s bond market has opened in positive territory following early stock weakness. As expected, the stock markets are showing sizable losses as they react for the first time to Friday’s Employment numbers. The Dow is currently down 153 points while the Nasdaq has lost 40 points. The bond market is currently up 7/32, which with Friday’s strength after pricing was issued, should improve current Connecticut mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
Worth noting is that this morning’s early selling has brought the Dow below 13,000 again. It is early in the day and a lot can happen between now and closing, but closing and staying below 13,000 should bode well for the bond market and Connecticut mortgage rates. That was a threshold that was difficult to cross, so giving it up could signal further stock losses in the immediate future. This would create a flight-to-safety scenario that would likely bring funds from stocks into bonds.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for today or tomorrow. The rest of the week brings us the release of five economic reports that are relevant to mortgage rates, in addition to a couple of Treasury auctions that have the potential to be influential on the bond market and Connecticut mortgage pricing. Corporate earnings season also kicks off this week, which will be instrumental in stock market direction and possibly mortgage rate movement.
The first report of the week comes Wednesday afternoon when the Federal Reserve will post its Fed Beige Book report at 2:00 PM ET. This report is named simply after the color of its cover and details economic conditions throughout the U.S. by Federal Reserve region. Since the Fed relies heavily on the contents of this report during their FOMC meetings, its results can have a fairly big impact on the financial markets and Connecticut mortgage rates if it reveals any significant surprises. Unexpected signs of strong economic growth or rising inflation would be considered negative for bonds and mortgage rates. Slowing economic conditions with little sign of inflationary pressures would be considered favorable for bonds and Connecticut mortgage pricing.
Overall, look for the most movement in rates the latter part of the week due to the Producer and Consumer Price Indexes being released and the two Treasury auctions that are scheduled, but this morning was a good start. There is also a high probability that the stock markets will also influence bond trading and Connecticut mortgage rates due to earning releases that could disappoint the markets. I am expecting it to be an active week for the mortgage market, so please maintain contact with your mortgage professional if still floating an interest rate.
Rate Lock Advice for Current Connecticut Mortgage Rates
If I were considering purchasing or refinancing a home and predicting likely Connecticut mortgage rates, I would…
Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days…
Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days…
Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days…
Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now….
This is only a general opinion of what I would do if I were considering whether to lock or float current Connecticut mortgage rates based on the current mortgage market. Your individual situation may be different. Contact me if you would like advice for your particular circumstances.
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